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Posted on Dec 3, 2015 in Donald Trump, Dr. Carson, Foreign Policy Issues, Hillary Clinton, ISIS, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, primary, Public Opinion Polls, Republican Party, Uncategorized | 0 comments

Trump mocks disabled reporter yet rises in the polls. How come? Update: Cruz leads in two Iowa polls. Analysis.

Donald Trump continues to make outrageous statements. Last week he mocked a reporter with a disability that doesn’t permit him to control his arms. In doing so, Trump crossed a line of decency that has been well established. This week, on Fox News (Fox & Friends), he ignored the Geneva Convention that the U.S. has long supported, and urged the killing of families of ISIS terrorists. “When you get these terrorists, you have to take out their families,” he argued. No more concern for “collateral damage.” Instead, target them! On December 7, he proposed keeping all Muslims from coming into the country. By definition that would keep out the representatives of our allied countries in the regions: Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Turkey and the Gulf States. One outrageous statement, generally thought to be offensive to most Americans, after another. Mainstream Republican politicians have long shuddered at the prospect of a Trump candidacy, feeling that not only would he lose, but he would take down other Republican candidates with him. They have been waiting longer than...

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Posted on Nov 10, 2015 in Bernie Sanders, Democratic Party, Donald Trump, Dr. Carson, Elections-U.S., Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Presidential debates, primary, Public Opinion Polls, Republican Party, Uncategorized | 0 comments

Going into the fourth debate Carson,Trump still stalled. Q & A from viewers about Polls, Primary Races, etc.

On the eve of the fourth Republican debate, new polls (November 9-10) from South Carolina and nationally continue to show back and forth lead changes–but also continue to show that BOTH Donald Trump and Dr. Ben Carson’s support levels have stalled in the 20s. Both retain their core supporters but are failing to garner support from the remainder of Republicans; In my last post, I gave suggestions as to why this has happened. Now clearly in third place, Marco Rubio has edged up–thereby earning the infamous Trump negative attacks. Most poll experts believe that Trump, for reasons cited in my earlier poll analysis, has peaked and will definitely not be the Republican Candidate for President. Carson’s demise is less certain with the greater Fox support and still high “favorables”–though a deeper look into poll data shows that as voters become familiar with him, he, too, has trouble expanding his core base of support. Carson’s surge over the last couple of weeks seems to have stalled as well. A window of opportunity has therefore...

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Posted on Nov 6, 2015 in Donald Trump, Dr. Carson, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Presidential debates, primary, Public Opinion Polls, Republican Party, Uncategorized | 0 comments

Bullying and Pyramids: even as Trump & Carson lead in polls, they seem determined to self-destruct.

New state polls from Iowa, New Hampshire, and North Carolina show Dr. Carson and Donald Trump continuing to lead the rest of the Republican hopefuls by a considerable, though declining, amount. National polls confirm those findings. Carson has gained on Trump over the past month and they now  poll about the same. Both have had surges, and the lead has now changed hands several times. Though they still have a big lead over the rest of the field, their chances of winning the nomination are in danger of being marginalized–by their own hands or mouths, to be more precise. Trump, whose self-aggrandizing, bombastic, some say bullying style, that got him a  lot of free media coverage, while appealing to about a quarter of the voters in national polls. However, that style has also earned him very high “unfavorable” views by the remainder of Republican voters, nearly all of whom had formed an opinion of him–something unusual for this early in the race for the nomination. Because of that, over a month ago we predicted a plateauing of Trump’s support....

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Posted on Nov 2, 2015 in Donald Trump, Dr. Carson, Elections-U.S., Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Presidential debates, primary, Public Opinion Polls, Republican Party, Uncategorized | 0 comments

Update today-New Polls with Biden out Hillary’s lead insurmountable? Carson edges into 1st . Trump plateaus.

Four polls, now, all show that, as expected, with Joe Biden’s name now off the pollsters’ list, Hillary’s has surged to an even bigger lead for the nomination. If she doesn’t stumble (or get pushed) due to her e-mail controversy it appears to be insurmountable. Nationally, Fox’s poll, November 4, had Clinton on top of Sanders, 56 percent to 31 percent. O’Malley barely lights up the board at 2 percent. The new NBC/WSJ poll shows Clinton up over Sanders by 2 to 1, 62 percent to 31 percent. O’Malley is far back with 3 percent support. Quinnipiac has her up by  “only” 18 percent, but her numbers even there are over the magic 50  percent level (53 percent). O’Malley’s hope was to pick up some of the anti-Hillary Democratic voters who had previously indicate Biden as their choice, and who didn’t feel comfortable supporting self-proclaimed socialist, Bernie Sanders. This didn’t materialize, and, the only rationale for O’Malley continuing in the race would be to give his name national exposure so as to be considered...

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